Obolon Kyiv 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
62%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.2pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.3pp
62%
Away Win
76%
-13.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.8pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 80%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
0.43/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.66
-45% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +20%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Obolon Kyiv
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Corners 7
23.09.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 4-0 HT 1-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
30.03.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-3 HT 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
16.09.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Obolon Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk got the better of Obolon Kyiv 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Obolon Kyiv and 2.67 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Obolon Kyiv 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 17%, draw 21%, Shakhtar Donetsk 62%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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