CA River Plate 1-2 Plaza Colonia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.24/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.88
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Plaza Colonia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-1 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
11.02.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
06.08.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
16.07.2022 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
12.02.2022 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-1 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
20.10.2021 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
1-2
AWAY Plaza Colonia
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Plaza Colonia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plaza Colonia squeezed past CA River Plate 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Plaza Colonia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA River Plate had 48% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 52%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA River Plate and 0.00 for Plaza Colonia.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Plaza Colonia?

CA River Plate 1-2 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Plaza Colonia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Plaza Colonia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 34%, draw 27%, Plaza Colonia 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plaza Colonia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Plaza Colonia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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