Ikorodu City 4-3 Warri Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
70%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.0pp
10%
Away Win
10%
-0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.5pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Warri Wolves EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.86/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.58
+18% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ikorodu City
4-3
AWAY Warri Wolves
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 20
10 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City edged past Warri Wolves 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ikorodu City as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ikorodu City had 55% of the ball to Warri Wolves's 45%, shots finished 20-20.

What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves?

Ikorodu City 4-3 Warri Wolves in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ikorodu City win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 65%, draw 25%, Warri Wolves 10%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ikorodu City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ikorodu City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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