Amarante 1-1 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.05/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.97
-11% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amarante
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Academica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Amarante Amarante 1-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
1-1
AWAY Academica
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante and Academica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Academica at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Amarante had 49% of the ball to Academica's 51%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Academica?

Amarante 1-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Amarante 31%, draw 27%, Academica 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →