Shamrock Rovers 4-0 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 27% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.66
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.4
X/1
18%
3.55
X/2
9%
15.0
X/X
9%
7.01
2/1
10%
21.45
2/2
6%
11.6
2/X
7%
19.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.70/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.46
+6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
26.3 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.60 xG 0.57
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
415 Passes 163
79% Pass Accuracy 61%
32 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 5-0 HT 3-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
07.07.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
19.05.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
24.02.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
16.10.2022 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
28.08.2022 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
4-0
AWAY Drogheda United
2.03 xG 0.22
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 3
384 Passes 138
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers cruised past Drogheda United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 69% of the ball to Drogheda United's 31%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 2.03 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.83 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Shamrock Rovers 4-0 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 59%, draw 23%, Drogheda United 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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