Trelleborgs FF 1-1 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 29 Apr 2024

Trelleborgs FF
1-1 HT 1-1
Degerfors
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Trelleborgs FF vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
53%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 30% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
4.97
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
24.85
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
11%
6.89
X/2
19%
4.61
X/X
10%
4.78
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.84
2/X
9%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
29%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
53%
Away Win
45%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trelleborgs FF v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
1.16/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.41
-20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Trelleborgs FF vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Degerfors
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
25.10.2020 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
18.07.2020 Degerfors Degerfors 1-0 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
17.08.2019 Degerfors Degerfors 2-2 HT 1-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
08.06.2019 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
10.08.2017 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-1 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
22.07.2017 Degerfors Degerfors 2-3 HT 2-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2

Trelleborgs FF 1-1 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trelleborgs FF
1-1
AWAY Degerfors
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF and Degerfors shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Degerfors at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Trelleborgs FF had 58% of the ball to Degerfors's 42%, shots finished 11-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 1.17 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs Degerfors?

Trelleborgs FF 1-1 Degerfors in the Sweden - Superettan on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 22%, draw 26%, Degerfors 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Degerfors), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Degerfors) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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