Racing Ferrol 0-2 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.82
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.56
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
14%
4.04
X/2
9%
8.31
X/X
19%
3.92
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
9%
7.07
2/X
9%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.40/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.41
-16% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
29.6 Crosses 16.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mirandes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 2.43
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
209 Passes 437
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-2 HT 0-2 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
0-2
AWAY Mirandes
0.90 xG 1.09
73% Ball Possession 27%
24 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
483 Passes 117
84% Pass Accuracy 52%
31 Box Touches 14
52 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes beat Racing Ferrol 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Ferrol at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 73% of the ball to Mirandes's 27%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 0.90 to 1.09.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Mirandes?

Racing Ferrol 0-2 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 45%, draw 32%, Mirandes 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Ferrol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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