Genoa 3-0 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 29 Apr 2024

Genoa
3-0 HT 2-0
Cagliari
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Genoa vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.36
6+ Goals
11%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.02
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
16%
4.6
X/2
9%
6.88
X/X
10%
3.96
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
16%
5.35
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genoa v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.52/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.60
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.7 Crosses 20.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Genoa vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cagliari
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
367 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 2-1 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
01.03.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 0-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTB
07.10.2022 Genoa Genoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
24.04.2022 Genoa Genoa 1-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
12.09.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 2-3 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
22.05.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 0-1 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTA

Genoa 3-0 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa
3-0
AWAY Cagliari
1.18 xG 1.12
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
454 Passes 214
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genoa vs Cagliari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa ran out comfortable winners over Cagliari 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Genoa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Genoa had 63% of the ball to Cagliari's 37%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.18 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Genoa and 0.67 for Cagliari.

What was the final score of Genoa vs Cagliari?

Genoa 3-0 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa vs Cagliari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Genoa 41%, draw 28%, Cagliari 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genoa) ✗ Under 2.5
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