Deportes Iquique 2-1 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +26%
1.53/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.18
+29% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.6 Crosses 16.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Iquique
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Palestino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.66 xG 2.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 257
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.12.2020 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-2 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
16.09.2020 Palestino Palestino 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
17.03.2019 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 3-3 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
28.10.2018 Palestino Palestino 5-1 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
21.04.2018 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-1 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
25.11.2017 Palestino Palestino 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Iquique
2-1
AWAY Palestino
1.61 xG 0.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
256 Passes 281
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportes Iquique vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Iquique edged past Palestino 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportes Iquique as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportes Iquique had 47% of the ball to Palestino's 53%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.61 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportes Iquique's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportes Iquique and 2.33 for Palestino.

What was the final score of Deportes Iquique vs Palestino?

Deportes Iquique 2-1 Palestino in the Chile - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Iquique vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Iquique win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportes Iquique 42%, draw 26%, Palestino 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Iquique) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Iquique) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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