Goias 3-0 Ponte Preta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 29 Apr 2024

Goias
3-0 HT 1-0
Ponte Preta
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Goias vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Goias v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.73/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.20
+15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
23.3 Crosses 15.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Goias vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.62 xG 0.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
372 Passes 271
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2021 Goias Goias 2-2 HT 0-2 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
24.07.2021 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 2-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
22.09.2018 Goias Goias 2-2 HT 1-2 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
06.06.2018 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 2-1 HT 1-1 Goias Goias BR2
17.09.2015 Goias Goias 1-2 HT 1-1 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR1
14.06.2015 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1

Goias 3-0 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
3-0
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.10 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
419 Passes 343
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Goias vs Ponte Preta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias swept aside Ponte Preta 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Goias had 54% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 46%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.10 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ponte Preta led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Goias and 1.67 for Ponte Preta.

What was the final score of Goias vs Ponte Preta?

Goias 3-0 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Ponte Preta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Goias 49%, draw 28%, Ponte Preta 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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