Silkeborg IF 3-0 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.17
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
12%
7.07
X/2
13%
4.48
X/X
9%
4.86
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.74
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 50%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
1.69/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.28
+14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
13.7 Crosses 16.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Silkeborg IF
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Midtjylland
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.67 xG 1.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
490 Passes 397
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-4 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
30.07.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 2-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
29.05.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 3-3 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
01.05.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-0 HT 3-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
19.03.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 3-3 HT 1-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
22.07.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-3 HT 0-1 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Silkeborg IF
3-0
AWAY Midtjylland
0.99 xG 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
565 Passes 438
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 25
5 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Silkeborg IF vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Silkeborg IF ran out comfortable winners over Midtjylland 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Midtjylland at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Silkeborg IF had 55% of the ball to Midtjylland's 45%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.99 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Silkeborg IF and 2.67 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of Silkeborg IF vs Midtjylland?

Silkeborg IF 3-0 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Silkeborg IF vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Silkeborg IF 34%, draw 24%, Midtjylland 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Midtjylland), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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