Emelec 1-1 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.17/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.01
-23% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.3 Crosses 16.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.43 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
228 Passes 247
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.11.2023 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
04.06.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-3 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
19.09.2022 Emelec Emelec 1-3 HT 1-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
12.05.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
25.10.2021 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
11.07.2021 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
1-1
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.05 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
273 Passes 240
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec and Barcelona SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Emelec had 52% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 48%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.05 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Emelec and 1.17 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Barcelona SC?

Emelec 1-1 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Emelec 38%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Emelec), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emelec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →