SJK Akatemia 0-3 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
47%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.79
6+ Goals
8%
7.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
47%
Away Win
37%
+10.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.37/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.90
-5% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +54%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Akatemia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY TPS Turku
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINYK
22.09.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-2 HT 2-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
31.07.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-1 HT 4-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
21.05.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
15.07.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-1 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
15.05.2022 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-2 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Akatemia
0-3
AWAY TPS Turku
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SJK Akatemia vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku ran out comfortable winners over SJK Akatemia 3-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, SJK Akatemia had 51% of the ball to TPS Turku's 49%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for SJK Akatemia and 1.67 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of SJK Akatemia vs TPS Turku?

SJK Akatemia 0-3 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Akatemia vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split SJK Akatemia 29%, draw 24%, TPS Turku 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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