Birmingham City U21 3-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
3.17
Over 2.5
72%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.5pp
28%
Under 2.5
28%
-0.4pp
72%
Over 2.5
72%
+0.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.3pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.63
+2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Birmingham City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham City U21 nicked a narrow win over AFC Bournemouth U21 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Birmingham City U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Birmingham City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Birmingham City U21 3-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Birmingham City U21 50%, draw 20%, AFC Bournemouth U21 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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29 Apr 2024
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