Deportivo Saprissa 4-1 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.3pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.0pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
2.53/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.01
+24% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Guanacasteca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
25.02.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
02.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
31.07.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
13.03.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-3 HT 1-3 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
16.01.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
29.09.2022 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
4-1
AWAY Guanacasteca
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa ran out comfortable winners over Guanacasteca 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 59% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 41%, shots finished 20-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.33 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Guanacasteca?

Deportivo Saprissa 4-1 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 59%, draw 24%, Guanacasteca 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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