Ajka 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.87/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.40
-20% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -21%
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-1 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
26.02.2023 Ajka Ajka 4-1 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
28.08.2022 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
06.03.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 0-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
12.09.2021 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
16.05.2021 Ajka Ajka 0-1 HT 0-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka edged past Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nyiregyhaza Spartacus at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ajka and 1.33 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Ajka 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB II on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nyiregyhaza Spartacus win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ajka 32%, draw 25%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nyiregyhaza Spartacus) ✗ Over 2.5
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