Chrobry Glogow 0-2 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+8.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.12/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.50
-4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrobry Glogow
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-1 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
25.10.2015 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-1 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
23.08.2014 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-1 HT 2-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrobry Glogow
0-2
AWAY Wisla Plock
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chrobry Glogow vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock saw off Chrobry Glogow 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Wisla Plock found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chrobry Glogow had 41% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 59%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wisla Plock led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chrobry Glogow and 1.67 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Chrobry Glogow vs Wisla Plock?

Chrobry Glogow 0-2 Wisla Plock in the Poland - 1st Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrobry Glogow vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chrobry Glogow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chrobry Glogow 38%, draw 25%, Wisla Plock 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chrobry Glogow) ✗ Over 2.5
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