Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Apr 2024

Puszcza Niepolomice
1-1 HT 1-0
Korona Kielce
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Puszcza Niepolomice vs Korona Kielce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.46
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
13%
6.0
X/2
14%
5.0
X/X
12%
4.03
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.44
2/X
10%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Puszcza Niepolomice v Korona Kielce — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 43%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.28/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.80
+28% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
14.6 Crosses 14.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Puszcza Niepolomice vs Korona Kielce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Korona Kielce
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.92 xG 2.80
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
208 Passes 308
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 5-3 HT 3-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
27.11.2021 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 5-2 HT 4-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL1
09.08.2021 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 3-1 HT 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
13.03.2021 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
11.09.2020 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 0-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL1
21.06.2019 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-4 HT 0-2 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice HAZ

Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Korona Kielce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
1-1
AWAY Korona Kielce
0.68 xG 0.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
207 Passes 276
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puszcza Niepolomice vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puszcza Niepolomice and Korona Kielce shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 45% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 55%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.68 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Korona Kielce led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 2.00 for Korona Kielce.

What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Korona Kielce?

Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puszcza Niepolomice win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 38%, draw 27%, Korona Kielce 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Puszcza Niepolomice), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puszcza Niepolomice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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