Malmö FF 2-0 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.28
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.23
Over
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.67
2-3
43%
1.96
4-5
20%
2.95
6+
13%
8.37
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.67 — our 24% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.43
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
23.75
X/1
17%
3.74
X/2
7%
22.9
X/X
10%
8.22
2/1
7%
23.75
2/2
6%
20.7
2/X
9%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Malmö FF win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
74%
-16.8pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.0pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.94/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.61
+6% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -86% / +96%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
468 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.4 Crosses 19.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Östers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇK
25.02.2019 Östers Östers 2-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
01.09.2013 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
22.04.2013 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ
02.03.2013 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-1 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇK
25.10.2006 Östers Östers 2-1 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
2-0
AWAY Östers
2.38 xG 0.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
373 Passes 326
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF got the better of Östers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Malmö FF had 52% of the ball to Östers's 48%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.38 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Malmö FF and 1.00 for Östers.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Östers?

Malmö FF 2-0 Östers in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 57%, draw 24%, Östers 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ BTTS No
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