Sutton United 1-2 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İULK, 29 Apr 2025

Sutton United
1-2 HT 0-1
Leeds United U21
📅29/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
İULK – 2024/2025

Sutton United vs Leeds United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.21
Over
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sutton United v Leeds United U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 28%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.02/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.00
-51% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
213 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United U21 nicked a narrow win over Sutton United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sutton United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Leeds United U21?

Sutton United 1-2 Leeds United U21 in the İULK on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 44%, draw 26%, Leeds United U21 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sutton United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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