ENPPI 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.63
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
14%
7.15
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.6pp
31%
Draw
34%
-3.1pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.3pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ENPPI EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.11/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.28
-19% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
18.5 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ENPPI
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.15 xG 0.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
281 Passes 253
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2025 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 3-0 HT 2-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
01.06.2023 ENPPI ENPPI 1-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
12.01.2023 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 HT 1-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
24.05.2022 ENPPI ENPPI 2-2 HT 1-2 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
05.11.2021 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 3-0 HT 2-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
06.05.2021 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 HT 1-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ENPPI
1-0
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
0.25 xG 0.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 6
269 Passes 248
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
11 Box Touches 10
9 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ENPPI vs Ghazl El Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ENPPI nicked a narrow win over Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ENPPI as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ENPPI had 51% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 49%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.25 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ghazl El Mehalla led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ENPPI and 1.67 for Ghazl El Mehalla.

What was the final score of ENPPI vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

ENPPI 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ENPPI vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a ENPPI win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ENPPI 45%, draw 31%, Ghazl El Mehalla 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ENPPI), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ENPPI) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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