Nardo 2-3 Aalesund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.3
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
29%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
72%
-19.6pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
12%
+17.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.1pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nardo EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund II EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
3.87/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/2.41
+25% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +139% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nardo
2-3
AWAY Aalesund II
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nardo vs Aalesund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund II nicked a narrow win over Nardo 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nardo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nardo had 63% of the ball to Aalesund II's 37%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Nardo vs Aalesund II?

Nardo 2-3 Aalesund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nardo vs Aalesund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nardo 52%, draw 19%, Aalesund II 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nardo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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