Dinamo Minsk 1-0 ML Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
5.34
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY ML Rogachev EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-65% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
1W-0D-0L
AWAY ML Rogachev
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2026 ML Rogachev ML Rogachev 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
1-0
AWAY ML Rogachev
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs ML Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk edged past ML Rogachev 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was ML Rogachev at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 33% of the ball to ML Rogachev's 67%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs ML Rogachev?

Dinamo Minsk 1-0 ML Rogachev in the Belarus - Cup on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs ML Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated an ML Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 31%, draw 24%, ML Rogachev 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ML Rogachev), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ML Rogachev) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLRK More Belarus - Cup
29 Apr 2026
18:00 BATE Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr Analysis →