San Lorenzo vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Lorenzo v Santos — Team-Based Signals
San Lorenzo vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
San Lorenzo
LKU
1-3
HT 0-2
Santos
LKU
1-0
HT 1-0
San Lorenzo
CON CSA
3-0
HT 1-0
Santos
CON CSA
San Lorenzo 1-1 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
San Lorenzo and Santos shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was San Lorenzo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, San Lorenzo had 48% of the ball to Santos's 52%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.10 to 0.40.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Lorenzo and 1.50 for Santos.
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Santos?
San Lorenzo 1-1 Santos in the Copa Sudamericana on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 43%, draw 30%, Santos 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Lorenzo), BTTS No went the other way.