Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 May 2024

Deportivo La Coruna
2-1 HT 0-1
CD Castellon
📅29/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2023/2024

Deportivo La Coruna vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.33
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.2
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
0.78/0.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.19
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Deportivo La Coruna vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Castellon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.06.2023 CD Castellon CD Castellon 4-3 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
04.06.2023 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3

Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
2-1
AWAY CD Castellon
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna squeezed past CD Castellon 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo La Coruna as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 48% of the ball to CD Castellon's 52%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 2.00 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs CD Castellon?

Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 48%, draw 28%, CD Castellon 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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