El Porvenir 0-4 Godoy Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.78
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
51%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.8
Over
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No Pick
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
35%
3.1
2-3
35%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.78
6+
6%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.1 — our 35% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
23%
Home Win
10%
+13.0pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.4pp
51%
Away Win
71%
-20.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.4pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Porvenir The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Godoy Cruz The Market 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
225 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 493 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Porvenir
0-4
AWAY Godoy Cruz
0.16 xG 2.43
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
156 Passes 307
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH El Porvenir vs Godoy Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Godoy Cruz cruised past El Porvenir 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Godoy Cruz as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, El Porvenir had 39% of the ball to Godoy Cruz's 61%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.16 to 2.43.

What was the final score of El Porvenir vs Godoy Cruz?

El Porvenir 0-4 Godoy Cruz in the Argentina - Cup on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Porvenir vs Godoy Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Godoy Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split El Porvenir 23%, draw 26%, Godoy Cruz 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Godoy Cruz), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Godoy Cruz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →