Amazonas 1-0 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
1.48
Over
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2.16
2-3
39%
1.81
4-5
14%
5.81
6+
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.16 — our 41% vs market 39.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.3pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.3pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC The Market 43%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.58/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.74
+86% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
26.0 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
1-0
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.88 xG 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 5
405 Passes 419
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas squeezed past Mirassol FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Amazonas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Amazonas had 50% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 50%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 0.88 to 0.75.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Mirassol FC?

Amazonas 1-0 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 33%, draw 32%, Mirassol FC 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mirassol FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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