Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 May 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos
4-0 HT 2-0
Kashiwa Reysol
📅29/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.36
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
9%
12.1
X/1
10%
5.68
X/2
13%
6.12
X/X
13%
5.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.85
2/2
17%
3.74
2/X
5%
12.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.74/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.21
+37% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.5 Crosses 17.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.58
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
508 Passes 237
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
10.06.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-3 HT 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
25.06.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 HT 3-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
27.02.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-1 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
03.07.2021 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
22.05.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP

Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
4-0
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
3.25 xG 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
407 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 27
4 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos ran out comfortable winners over Kashiwa Reysol 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Yokohama F. Marinos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 56% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 44%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 3.25 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.67 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 37%, draw 27%, Kashiwa Reysol 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →