Obolon Kyiv 1-0 Livyi Bereh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
49%
-12.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.21
-35% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Obolon Kyiv
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Livyi Bereh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 8
6 Corners 4
03.03.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-1 HT 0-1 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
20.08.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-2 HT 1-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Obolon Kyiv vs Livyi Bereh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Obolon Kyiv edged past Livyi Bereh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Obolon Kyiv found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Obolon Kyiv and 1.00 for Livyi Bereh.

What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Livyi Bereh?

Obolon Kyiv 1-0 Livyi Bereh in the Ukraine - Premier League on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Livyi Bereh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Obolon Kyiv win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 36%, draw 31%, Livyi Bereh 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Obolon Kyiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Obolon Kyiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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