Adama City 1-0 Hadiya Hosaena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.9pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adama City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.94/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.29
+16% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +148%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adama City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2024 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 2-0 Adama City Adama City ETH
07.04.2024 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 2-1 HT 1-1 Adama City Adama City ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adama City
1-0
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adama City vs Hadiya Hosaena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adama City squeezed past Hadiya Hosaena 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hadiya Hosaena at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Adama City had 48% of the ball to Hadiya Hosaena's 52%, shots finished 7-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hadiya Hosaena led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Adama City and 2.00 for Hadiya Hosaena.

What was the final score of Adama City vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Adama City 1-0 Hadiya Hosaena in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adama City vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hadiya Hosaena win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Adama City 26%, draw 31%, Hadiya Hosaena 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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