Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 29 May 2025

Ghazl El Mehalla
1-1 HT 0-0
Ismaily
📅29/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2024/2025

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ismaily Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.4
6+ Goals
7%
23.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.47 — our 37% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ghazl El Mehalla v Ismaily — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.09/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.00
-46% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.0 Crosses 13.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ismaily Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Ismaily
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.88 xG 1.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
245 Passes 313
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
21.02.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 1-1 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
24.10.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 2-1 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
28.06.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
26.11.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
17.06.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 3-1 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR

Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 Ismaily — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
1-1
AWAY Ismaily
0.81 xG 0.45
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
283 Passes 212
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl El Mehalla and Ismaily shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ghazl El Mehalla at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 57% of the ball to Ismaily's 43%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 0.81 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 0.83 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ismaily?

Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 42%, draw 28%, Ismaily 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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