İtalya U17 2-2 Portekiz U17 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U17 Championship, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U17 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz U17 EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 23.3
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U17
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Portekiz U17
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.51 xG 1.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
300 Passes 252
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2019 İtalya U17 İtalya U17 1-0 HT 1-0 Portekiz U17 Portekiz U17 U17
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U17
2-2
AWAY Portekiz U17
1.25 xG 1.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
418 Passes 289
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İtalya U17 vs Portekiz U17
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U17 and Portekiz U17 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İtalya U17 had 56% of the ball to Portekiz U17's 44%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.25 to 1.86.

What was the final score of İtalya U17 vs Portekiz U17?

İtalya U17 2-2 Portekiz U17 in the European U17 Championship on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U17 vs Portekiz U17?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U17 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split İtalya U17 41%, draw 23%, Portekiz U17 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (İtalya U17), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İtalya U17) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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