Fasil Ketema 0-1 Sheger Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 29 May 2026

📅29/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
42%
2.66
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
30%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
31%
-5.0pp
42%
Draw
34%
+7.6pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheger Ketema EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.74/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.86
-21% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fasil Ketema
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sheger Ketema
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
16.01.2026 Sheger Ketema 0-0 HT 0-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
0-1
AWAY Sheger Ketema
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheger Ketema squeezed past Fasil Ketema 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 46% of the ball to Sheger Ketema's 54%, shots finished 4-5.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

Fasil Ketema 0-1 Sheger Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 26%, draw 42%, Sheger Ketema 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
29 May 2026
15:00 Shire Endaselassie vs Hadiya Hosaena Analysis →