Tianjin Teda 3-0 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.18
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.91
X/2
10%
6.26
X/X
12%
4.51
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
18%
4.48
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +120%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.73 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
21.07.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 3-3 HT 0-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
26.04.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
29.06.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
09.06.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-2 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
21.10.2020 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
3-0
AWAY Shenzhen FC
3.26 xG 0.28
76% Ball Possession 24%
23 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
489 Passes 108
88% Pass Accuracy 60%
32 Box Touches 7
36 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda swept aside Shenzhen FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tianjin Teda as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 76% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 24%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 3.26 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tianjin Teda and 1.33 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Shenzhen FC?

Tianjin Teda 3-0 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 42%, draw 24%, Shenzhen FC 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tianjin Teda) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✗ Under 2.5
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