Jönköpings Södra 1-0 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jönköpings Södra EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.00/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.19
-38% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jönköpings Södra
1-0
AWAY AFC Malmö
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jönköpings Södra vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jönköpings Södra edged past AFC Malmö 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Jönköpings Södra found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jönköpings Södra had 42% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 58%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Jönköpings Södra vs AFC Malmö?

Jönköpings Södra 1-0 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jönköpings Södra vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Jönköpings Södra 35%, draw 29%, AFC Malmö 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Malmö), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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