Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 Chaco For Ever — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.5pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaco For Ever EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -8%
1.24/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.55
-4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Chaco For Ever
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
12.02.2024 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
20.02.2022 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Chaco For Ever
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza squeezed past Chaco For Ever 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnasia Mendoza as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chaco For Ever led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.00 for Chaco For Ever.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Chaco For Ever?

Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 Chaco For Ever in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Chaco For Ever?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 52%, draw 28%, Chaco For Ever 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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