Trans Narva 1-2 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
60%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+9.5pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.2pp
60%
Away Win
73%
-12.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 77%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
0.92/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.62
+22% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +34%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 6-0 HT 3-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
01.10.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
01.07.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
14.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
18.03.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
05.11.2022 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-1 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
1-2
AWAY FC Levadia
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia edged past Trans Narva 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Trans Narva had 36% of the ball to FC Levadia's 64%, shots finished 3-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Trans Narva and 2.67 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs FC Levadia?

Trans Narva 1-2 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 20%, draw 20%, FC Levadia 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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