Kedus Giorgis 1-1 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
-6.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1-1
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis and Ethiopia Bunna shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ethiopia Bunna at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 43% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 57%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Kedus Giorgis 1-1 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 24%, draw 32%, Ethiopia Bunna 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5
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