Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 30% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.16
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
23%
4.78
X/2
11%
6.38
X/X
12%
4.28
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
9%
4.73
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
0.91/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.39
-24% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.1 Crosses 16.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Daegu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 1.14
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
447 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
16.10.2022 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
28.08.2022 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
14.05.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
02.03.2022 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
11.08.2021 Daegu Daegu 2-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2-0
AWAY Daegu
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
287 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu beat Daegu 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimcheon Sangmu as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 51% of the ball to Daegu's 49%, shots finished 22-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 0.83 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daegu?

Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 45%, draw 27%, Daegu 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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