29/06/2024
·
12:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Lugano vs Stade Nyonnais Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
72%
22%
Draw
17%
23%
Away Win
12%
45%
Under 2.5
31%
55%
Over 2.5
69%
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
49%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugano v Stade Nyonnais — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lugano
EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stade Nyonnais
EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-23% /
-23%
1.86/0.35
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.15/2.15
-18%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-84%
/
+1%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
471 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
293 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.0
Yellow Cards
0.0
POST-MATCH
Lugano vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lugano saw off Stade Nyonnais 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Lugano vs Stade Nyonnais?
Lugano 2-0 Stade Nyonnais in the Friendlies on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugano vs Stade Nyonnais?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lugano 55%, draw 22%, Stade Nyonnais 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lugano)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
29 Jun 2024