Lugano 2-0 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
72%
-16.4pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.4pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.86/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/2.15
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano saw off Stade Nyonnais 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Stade Nyonnais?

Lugano 2-0 Stade Nyonnais in the Friendlies on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lugano 55%, draw 22%, Stade Nyonnais 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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