Zamalek 4-2 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.9
Over 2.5
39%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
3.51
6+ Goals
6%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 34% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
49%
+12.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
51%
-12.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.7pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.61/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.02
+30% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
15.5 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.11 xG 0.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
351 Passes 327
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2024 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-2 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
26.04.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
23.10.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
28.06.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 3-2 HT 2-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
25.11.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
20.08.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-2 HT 1-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
4-2
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.98 xG 0.82
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
487 Passes 280
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek saw off Ceramica Cleopatra 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Zamalek found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamalek had 61% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 39%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.98 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zamalek and 0.67 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Zamalek 4-2 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 40%, draw 30%, Ceramica Cleopatra 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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