Notodden 0-1 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 29 Jun 2024

Notodden
0-1 HT 0-1
Jerv
📅29/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2024

Notodden vs Jerv Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
5.06
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.06 — our 26% vs market 15.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notodden v Jerv — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 59%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.17/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.06
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Notodden vs Jerv Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Jerv
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
The Meetings
29.09.2019 Notodden Notodden 1-1 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
22.04.2019 Jerv Jerv 3-1 HT 2-0 Notodden Notodden NOR1
26.08.2018 Notodden Notodden 0-1 HT 0-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
16.05.2018 Jerv Jerv 1-0 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR1

Notodden 0-1 Jerv — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notodden
0-1
AWAY Jerv
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv nicked a narrow win over Notodden 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jerv as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Notodden had 53% of the ball to Jerv's 47%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jerv led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Notodden and 1.50 for Jerv.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Jerv?

Notodden 0-1 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Notodden 30%, draw 23%, Jerv 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerv) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jerv) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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