Degerfors 0-3 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
14%
5.46
X/2
13%
6.72
X/X
9%
5.17
2/1
6%
24.2
2/2
15%
4.37
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 6% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +22%
1.31/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.39
-20% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.2 Crosses 24.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.65 xG 2.56
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
414 Passes 415
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
08.07.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-2 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
05.10.2019 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
11.05.2019 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-3 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
02.09.2017 Degerfors Degerfors 3-2 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
03.06.2017 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
0-3
AWAY Brommapojkarna
0.70 xG 0.59
72% Ball Possession 28%
14 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
459 Passes 146
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
36 Box Touches 16
44 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna cruised past Degerfors 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Degerfors at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Degerfors had 72% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 28%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.70 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Degerfors and 1.17 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Brommapojkarna?

Degerfors 0-3 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 42%, draw 24%, Brommapojkarna 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Degerfors), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Degerfors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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