Gold Coast United 1-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.1pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.5pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.16/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.41
-21% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses 16.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.31 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
318 Passes 300
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
24.02.2024 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-2 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
13.08.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
07.05.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-0 HT 0-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
27.08.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
14.08.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast United vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast United squeezed past Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-0.

Our pre-match split (42% / 19% / 39%) promised a tight game; Gold Coast United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gold Coast United and 0.50 for Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

What was the final score of Gold Coast United vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Gold Coast United 1-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast United vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast United 42%, draw 19%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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