Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 29 Jun 2025

Atletico Paranaense
0-1 HT 0-0
Coritiba
📅29/06/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.38
Over 2.5
39%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.71
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
69%
-7.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
31%
+7.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.8pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Paranaense v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 29%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.05
-100% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
– Crosses 16.8
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Coritiba
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 0.87
57% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
336 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 2-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
15.05.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-2 HT 0-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
06.02.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-1 HT 1-1 Coritiba Coritiba BRPR
17.10.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
19.06.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
27.03.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BRPR1

Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
0-1
AWAY Coritiba
0.88 xG 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
271 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba squeezed past Atletico Paranaense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Paranaense at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 45% of the ball to Coritiba's 55%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 0.88 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.00 for Coritiba.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba?

Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 45%, draw 28%, Coritiba 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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