Alta 4-1 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 29 Jun 2025

Alta
4-1 HT 1-0
Naples
📅29/06/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.31/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.99
-2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
11.5 Crosses 11.8
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
4-1
AWAY Naples
1.88 xG 1.71
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
479 Passes 227
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alta vs Naples
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta swept aside Naples 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Alta made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alta had 63% of the ball to Naples's 37%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.88 to 1.71.

What was the final score of Alta vs Naples?

Alta 4-1 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alta 42%, draw 22%, Naples 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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