Nacional Potosi 2-1 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.15/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.23
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
214 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
25.2 Crosses 14.9
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bolivar
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.21 xG 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
242 Passes 237
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 4-3 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
01.05.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-2 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
16.10.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 3-1 HT 2-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
29.10.2021 Bolivar Bolivar 4-2 HT 2-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
12.08.2021 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
09.12.2020 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
2-1
AWAY Bolivar
1.40 xG 0.49
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
123 Passes 352
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi edged past Bolivar 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Nacional Potosi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 31% of the ball to Bolivar's 69%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 1.40 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nacional Potosi and 2.50 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Bolivar?

Nacional Potosi 2-1 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 35%, draw 28%, Bolivar 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bolivar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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