Busan I Park 0-2 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-10.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.18/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.50
-24% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.6 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
0W-4D-0L
AWAY Cheongju FC
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
26.11.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 0-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
24.06.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 1-1 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
11.03.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
0-2
AWAY Cheongju FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheongju FC got the better of Busan I Park 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Cheongju FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 48% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 52%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Busan I Park and 0.75 for Cheongju FC.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Cheongju FC?

Busan I Park 0-2 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 38%, draw 30%, Cheongju FC 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Busan I Park) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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