Leevon / PPK 2-1 Valmiera II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
24%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.6pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.6pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
376 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Leevon / PPK vs Valmiera II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leevon / PPK nicked a narrow win over Valmiera II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leevon / PPK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs Valmiera II?

Leevon / PPK 2-1 Valmiera II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs Valmiera II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 43%, draw 32%, Valmiera II 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leevon / PPK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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