Rotor Volgograd 0-1 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 29 Jul 2024

Rotor Volgograd
0-1 HT 0-0
Arsenal Tula
📅29/07/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.63
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
1.26
Over 2.5
23%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.6
No
70%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
31%
Draw
35%
-4.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.3pp
77%
Under 2.5
76%
+1.3pp
23%
Over 2.5
24%
-1.3pp
30%
BTTS Yes
34%
-4.7pp
70%
BTTS No
66%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rotor Volgograd v Arsenal Tula — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 34%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
0.80/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.60
-25% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +83%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
– Crosses 6.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotor Volgograd
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.30 xG 1.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
218 Passes 302
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.12.2020 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
07.11.2020 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-1 HT 1-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS
25.04.2014 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1

Rotor Volgograd 0-1 Arsenal Tula — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotor Volgograd
0-1
AWAY Arsenal Tula
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula nicked a narrow win over Rotor Volgograd 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Arsenal Tula found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rotor Volgograd had 43% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 57%, shots finished 5-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rotor Volgograd had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rotor Volgograd and 0.67 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula?

Rotor Volgograd 0-1 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotor Volgograd win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rotor Volgograd 38%, draw 31%, Arsenal Tula 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rotor Volgograd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rotor Volgograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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